Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000602 0.000684 0.000771 0.000869 0.000977 0.001092 0.001224
2025-12-28 0.000489 0.000605 0.000736 0.000894 0.001079 0.001287 0.001537
2026-01-04 0.000423 0.000555 0.000712 0.000908 0.001146 0.001423 0.001767
2026-01-11 0.000364 0.000504 0.000676 0.000901 0.001182 0.001518 0.001948
2026-01-18 0.000316 0.000459 0.000643 0.000889 0.001206 0.001597 0.002107
2026-01-25 0.000284 0.000433 0.000628 0.000897 0.001254 0.001702 0.002298
2026-02-01 0.000256 0.000406 0.000610 0.000900 0.001292 0.001794 0.002475
2026-02-08 0.000222 0.000368 0.000572 0.000871 0.001285 0.001826 0.002573
2026-02-15 0.000193 0.000335 0.000541 0.000848 0.001283 0.001862 0.002675
2026-02-22 0.000175 0.000315 0.000524 0.000843 0.001305 0.001930 0.002821
2026-03-01 0.000159 0.000298 0.000511 0.000843 0.001332 0.002005 0.002975
2026-03-08 0.000143 0.000279 0.000492 0.000834 0.001345 0.002059 0.003103
2026-03-15 0.000127 0.000259 0.000472 0.000820 0.001352 0.002105 0.003221
2026-03-22 0.000121 0.000255 0.000475 0.000843 0.001413 0.002229 0.003452
2026-03-29 0.000114 0.000247 0.000473 0.000857 0.001459 0.002334 0.003656
2026-04-05 0.000103 0.000233 0.000459 0.000849 0.001474 0.002392 0.003795
2026-04-12 0.000093 0.000218 0.000442 0.000838 0.001481 0.002439 0.003918
2026-04-19 0.000087 0.000211 0.000438 0.000846 0.001518 0.002530 0.004108
2026-04-26 0.000080 0.000202 0.000431 0.000849 0.001547 0.002609 0.004280
2026-05-03 0.000070 0.000185 0.000407 0.000821 0.001525 0.002611 0.004338
2026-05-10 0.000062 0.000171 0.000387 0.000799 0.001511 0.002623 0.004410
2026-05-17 0.000056 0.000162 0.000377 0.000795 0.001526 0.002680 0.004552
2026-05-24 0.000052 0.000155 0.000370 0.000795 0.001547 0.002748 0.004710